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January 31, 2006

Inflated gorillas

This morning, SC belatedly noticed that one of his favorite financial websites had previewed Monday's ExxonMobil earnings announcement with this sentence:

On Monday, Exxon Mobil (XOM), the 500-pound gorilla of oil companies, reports.

Your host was under the impression that the usual expression was "800-pound gorilla", not 500, so this prompted the usual Google-based word frequency counts:

Gorilla frequency counts by weight
Weight Count
100 373
200 548
300 10,800
400 995
500 42,500
600 14,100
700 373
800 238,000
900 24,300
1000 829
1100 42
1200 251
1300 9
1400 6
1500 36
1600 151

So it would seem that while a variety of different numbers might be used for emphasis (or simply be speech errors, that once you get out past the magic large multiple of 10 (1,000), aside from the cheap metaphor of an 800-pound gorilla doubling in size to a 1600-pound gorilla (see here, here, and here for some examples), the numbers tail off quickly. But this monkey's tail turns out to be a bit longer than you might think:

Gorilla frequency counts by weight:
But only at interesting multiples
Weight Count
2000 734
2400 25
3000 310
3200 22 (but really only 2)
4000 111
4800 0
5000 595
5600 0
6000 150
6400 1
7000 59
7200 0
8000 519
8800 0
9000 177
9600 0
10000 400

Note that the multiple joke peters out very quickly with only 3 legitimate occurrences of references to (800 times N) once N gets to 4 or higher -- except at the special case of 8,000. More commonly, we like to make references to multiples of 5, especially when they're also multiples of 10 (the 10x factor explaing why 8000 breaks the pattern of the 800*N formula). They're nicely emphatic numbers, well-suited to the hyperbolic character of the underlying "unstoppably enormous" metaphor they're attached to.

SC was amused to discover that the Wall Street Journal's Carl Bialik covered some of the same territory in April last year, and for a change, the article isn't behind a subscriber firewall (scroll down a bit to see it). His article illustrates some of the amusing math (like two 800-pound gorilla companies merging to form a 1600-pounder), and also points out the absurdity of the metaphor in light of the actual weight of real gorillas; an expert is cited to the effect that a  typical silverback, among the largest of gorillas, weighs in around 400 pounds. There are some great examples in there of even bigger stretches of the metaphor, so go read it for yourself. And while you're at it, make sure to check out this American Journalism Review article (linked in the WSJ article) which arranges gorilla weights in ascending order from 500 to 1600 pounds.

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